I think there is a valid short opp in here.
here is more fundamental analysis (done by chatgpt). Maybe we have a good opp in here since the chatgpt reveled something interesting in here. I have highlighted the information with black.
Ibnsina Pharma is a prominent pharmaceutical distribution company in Egypt, listed on the Egyptian Exchange under the ticker symbol ISPH. Established in 2001, the company distributes a wide range of pharmaceutical and cosmetic products to both private and public-sector clients, including pharmacies, hospitals, and healthcare institutions.
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Financial Overview:
Revenue: In 2023, Ibnsina Pharma reported revenues of approximately EGP 33.95 billion.
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Net Income: The net income for the same period was EGP 173.14 million, resulting in a net profit margin of 0.51%.
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Total Assets and Liabilities: The company’s total assets stood at EGP 18.55 billion, with total liabilities amounting to EGP 17.1 billion, indicating a debt-to-assets ratio of 92.19%.
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Shareholder Structure:
Ibnsina Pharma’s ownership is diversified among prominent entities:
Free Float: 40.7%
Abdel Gawad Family: 15.0%
Faisal Islamic Bank: 14.0%
Mahgoub Family: 12.9%
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD): 9.6%
Blom Investment: 7.8%
This diverse shareholder base has enhanced the company’s corporate governance practices.
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Stock Performance:
As of January 29, 2025, the stock closed at EGP 7.02 per share, with a 52-week range between EGP 2.14 and EGP 7.59.
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Considerations for Investors:
While Ibnsina Pharma has demonstrated significant revenue generation, its net profit margin is relatively low, and the company operates with a high debt-to-assets ratio. Potential investors should weigh these factors carefully and consider consulting with a financial advisor to determine if this investment aligns with their risk tolerance and financial objectives.,# Analysis of Ibnsina Pharma: A Potential Short Opportunity
## Key Points
– **Company Overview**: Ibnsina Pharma, listed on the Egyptian Exchange (Ticker: ISPH), specializes in the distribution of pharmaceuticals and cosmetics, serving both private and public sectors since 2001.
– **Financial Performance**:
– **Revenue**: The company reported revenues of approximately EGP 33.95 billion in 2023.
– **Net Income**: The net income for 2023 was EGP 173.14 million, yielding a net profit margin of just 0.51%.
– **Financial Health**:
– **Assets and Liabilities**: Total assets are reported at EGP 18.55 billion against total liabilities of EGP 17.1 billion, resulting in a high debt-to-assets ratio of 92.19%.
– **Ownership Structure**:
– Diverse shareholder base includes Free Float (40.7%), Abdel Gawad Family (15.0%), Faisal Islamic Bank (14.0%), and several other institutional and familial investors, enhancing corporate governance.
– **Stock Performance**: As of January 29, 2025, the stock is priced at EGP 7.02, with a 52-week range from EGP 2.14 to EGP 7.59.
– **Investment Considerations**: Despite strong revenue, the low net profit margin and high debt-to-assets ratio raise red flags for potential investors. Caution is advised, and consulting with financial advisors is recommended.
## Conclusion
In summary, while Ibnsina Pharma demonstrates strong revenue generation capabilities, the financial metrics suggest a precarious position due to a low profit margin and high leverage. Investors considering a position in this stock should take heed of the potential risks, including the company’s frail profit performance relative to its debt load. Given these factors, a short opportunity may be valid, particularly if market conditions worsen or if the company fails to improve profitability.
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Original article: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ISPH/k3RUXk91-ISPH-Short/